Electronic Supplement to
Long-Term Creep Rates on the Hayward Fault: Evidence for Controls on the Size and Frequency of Large Earthquakes

by James J. Lienkaemper, Forrest S. McFarland, Robert W. Simpson, Roger G. Bilham, David A. Ponce, John J. Boatwright, and S. John Caskey

Table S2. Calculated magnitudes for 161-yr accumulated strain along a 70-km-long Hayward fault for a range of depth (z) of loading and locking

	Mw	% Total Aseismic	% Inter- seismic	% After- slip	Mw	% Total Aseismic	% Inter-seismic	% After-slip	Mw	% Total Aseismic	% Inter- seismic	% After- slip
For loading depths:	z = 10 km				z = 12 km				z = 14 km
All deficit in creeping patches released coseismically	6.86	29%	29%	0%	6.92	28%	28%	0%	6.97	26%	26%	0%
Half of deficit in creeping patches releases coseismically	6.79	44%	29%	15%	6.85	42%	28%	14%	6.91	41%	26%	15%
Only fully locked patches release coseismically	6.70	59%	29%	30%	6.77	57%	28%	29%	6.83	55%	26%	29%
Tapers:	z = 10-14 km				z = 8-12 km				z = 12-14 km
All deficit in creeping patches released coseismically	6.91	39%	39%	0%	6.85	42%	42%	0%	6.94	36%	36%	0%
Half of deficit in creeping patches releases coseismically	6.78	56%	39%	17%	6.76	60%	42%	18%	6.84	49%	36%	13%
Only fully locked patches release coseismically	6.67	74%	33%	41%	6.57	78%	42%	36%	6.75	63%	36%	27%

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