Electronic Supplement to
A Long-Term Earthquake Rate Model for the Central and Eastern United States from Smoothed Seismicity

by Morgan P. Moschetti

Table S1. Optimized Neighbor Numbers from Adaptive Smoothed-Seismicity Model.

Neighbor Number (Optimized Adaptive Smoothed Seismicity)
Forecast Catalog Starting Year
1925 1965 1980 1993
Testing Catalog M>2.7 M>4 M>2.7 M>4 M>2.7 M>4 M>2.7 M>4
1998–2002 4/5 3 2 2 2/3 1/2
2003–2007 3 4/5 1/2 7 2/3 3 3 2
2008–2012 4 9 2 8/9 3/4 4/5 2/3 3
1998–2012 3 3/4 2 3 3 2

Neighbor numbers presented for all forecast and testing catalog combinations. For cases in which the intermediate neighbor distances optimized information gain, the pair of neighbor numbers used in
computing the geometric mean are presented (e.g., 4/5).

[ Back ]